TLDR
- XRP maintains price levels between $1.32 and $1.35 while technical patterns suggest possible cycle bottom formation
- Weekly RSI touched oversold territory at 29 on March 2, currently rebounding to 34
- MACD indicator reached historical lows and approaches bullish crossover signal
- Approximately 500 million XRP purchased near $1.30, establishing this level as critical support
- Breakdown below $1.27–$1.30 would expose support at $1.15–$1.12, with deeper downside risk at $0.80
XRP has experienced an eight-month downward trajectory. However, multiple technical indicators are beginning to align in patterns that have previously signaled major market bottoms for the digital asset.
The token currently holds price action between $1.32 and $1.35. Market participants remain focused on whether bullish forces can maintain the critical $1.30 support zone.
Weekly RSI reached 29 on March 2, entering oversold conditions. The indicator has since improved to 34. Previous instances of XRP’s RSI touching these depths have consistently led to substantial price recoveries.
The MACD indicator has descended to unprecedented lows for XRP. This momentum oscillator now stands on the verge of generating a bullish crossover, a technical development that has coincided with macro bottoms throughout XRP’s trading history.
Historical analysis reveals that when these dual signals — oversold RSI combined with MACD bullish crossover — have emerged simultaneously, XRP has subsequently rallied between 74% and 230%. These patterns materialized in 2022 and repeated in mid-2024.
Key Support at $1.30
Analyst Egrag Crypto characterized the $1.30 zone as “a very sensitive level” where “the market chooses direction.” He indicated that sustained holding of this zone could enable price advancement, while a breach might trigger a move toward $1.15.
On-chain analytics from Glassnode reveal that approximately 500 million XRP were purchased around the $1.30 price point. This concentrated accumulation at a specific cost basis establishes a substantial foundation of buying interest.
Beneath the $1.30 threshold, the subsequent support zone resides at $1.15 to $1.12, where the 200-week simple moving average currently trades. Deterioration below this level would activate the bear flag projection toward $0.80.
Analyst Arthur shared on X that the weekly RSI for XRP had reached one of its most depressed levels in years, questioning whether the chart was “flashing a long-term bottom signal.” Analyst Cryptoinsightuk observed this represents only the second occurrence of XRP reaching oversold RSI conditions, with the initial instance being July 2022 — which precisely marked the bottom.
XRP vs Bitcoin Ratio
XRP has begun to find stability against Bitcoin near the lower boundary of an extended consolidation pattern. The previous instance when XRP formed a bottom against BTC at this level occurred in June 2025, which initiated a 56% advance in the XRP/BTC ratio and a 92% surge in XRP price to $3.66.
On-chain metrics indicate whale accumulation has intensified recently. According to analyst Ali Charts, 190 million XRP were acquired by whale addresses during the past week alone. Exchange outflows have also increased substantially, a pattern typically associated with longer-term holding strategies.
Bullish confirmation requires XRP to reclaim territory above the $1.61 range high.
