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    J.P. Morgan Elevates Alphabet (GOOGL) to Top Pick Following Record-Breaking Q1 Results

    Oliver DaleBy Oliver DaleMay 4, 2026
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    Contents:

    Toggle
    • Quick Summary
    • Search Revenue Demonstrates Continued Acceleration
    • Infrastructure Investment Remains Critical Focus Area

    Quick Summary

    • Alphabet shares have surged 23% year-to-date in 2026, with a 135% gain over the trailing twelve months
    • First quarter earnings per share reached $5.11, exceeding the $2.68 Wall Street forecast; total revenue registered $109.9B
    • Cloud computing division expanded approximately 63% with revenue commitments nearly doubling to $468B
    • J.P. Morgan elevated its valuation target to $460 while maintaining its Overweight designation
    • Among analysts tracking GOOGL, 86% assign a Buy recommendation

    Alphabet shares were changing hands at approximately $382.20 on Monday, representing a 0.9% decline, though this modest movement masks the significance of what many consider among the season’s most impressive quarterly performances.


    GOOGL Stock Card
    Alphabet Inc., GOOGL

    First quarter earnings per share registered at $5.11, substantially surpassing the $2.68 analyst projection by 91%. Total revenue reached $109.9B, marking a 21.8% year-over-year increase and exceeding the $106.96B forecast.

    The core financial metrics demonstrated considerable strength.

    Google Cloud emerged as the performance leader. This business segment expanded approximately 63%, generating roughly $20B in quarterly revenue. The division’s impact on Alphabet’s overall contracted revenue pipeline proved particularly noteworthy.

    Alphabet’s aggregate revenue backlog nearly doubled during Q1, climbing to $468B from $243B in the previous quarter. Cloud operations account for 99% of this total, with expectations that over half will materialize as recognized revenue within a two-year timeframe.

    J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth described the backlog expansion as “the single-most impressive metric this earnings season thus far.”

    The investment bank maintained its Overweight stance while increasing its valuation target to $460 from $395. Anmuth stated that GOOGL continues as the firm’s “top overall pick” and projected additional upside potential driven by earnings estimate revisions and valuation multiple expansion.

    Following the quarterly disclosure, over 40 Wall Street analysts increased their price projections. Among the 74 research firms monitored by FactSet, 86% maintain Buy ratings on the shares.

    Search Revenue Demonstrates Continued Acceleration

    Primary search operations generated 19% year-over-year growth in Q1, representing the fourth straight quarter of momentum improvement. J.P. Morgan highlighted this trend as validation of Alphabet’s position that artificial intelligence enhances search functionality rather than diminishing it.

    Additional investment firms expressing optimism include TD Cowen, Scotiabank, Raymond James, and Piper Sandler, each raising projections following the quarterly results.

    Some analysts maintain caution. D.A. Davidson kept its Neutral stance, increasing its target to $375 from $310 while observing that the strong execution appears “well reflected in the current valuation.”

    Infrastructure Investment Remains Critical Focus Area

    Alphabet provided guidance for 2026 capital expenditures in the $185–190B range, with additional increases anticipated for 2027. J.P. Morgan emphasized that elevated spending levels will be necessary to fulfill the cloud revenue commitments, with market participants monitoring the pace at which contracted backlog converts to actual revenue recognition.

    Hardware solutions are assuming greater importance. D.A. Davidson observed that Tensor Processing Unit sales to cloud infrastructure customers have significantly contributed to backlog expansion, though the profitability characteristics of these arrangements warrant further examination.

    Alphabet also announced a quarterly dividend increase to $0.22 from $0.21, with distribution scheduled for June 15.

    Shares have established a 52-week peak of $383.39 and currently trade within striking distance of surpassing Nvidia for the position of world’s most valuable company, commanding a market capitalization of $4.64 trillion.

    B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co. AG expanded its Alphabet position by 16.5% during Q4, bringing total holdings to 322,820 units valued at approximately $101.3M, establishing it as the firm’s 22nd-largest investment.

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    Oliver Dale
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    Editor-in-Chief of Computing.net and founder of Kooc Media, A UK-Based Online Media Company. Believer in Open-Source Software, Blockchain Technology & a Free and Fair Internet for all. His writing has been quoted by Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investopedia, The New Yorker, Forbes, Techcrunch & More. Contact Oliver@blockonomi.com

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